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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Tensions Escalate as Israeli Ground Invasion of Lebanon Looms

 

In a significant escalation of regional tensions, Israel is preparing for an imminent ground invasion of southern Lebanon. This move comes after weeks of intense cross-border skirmishes and the recent killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has been vocal about the necessity of this operation, emphasizing the need to dismantle Hezbollah’s military infrastructure near the border. “The elimination of Nasrallah is an important step, but it is not the final one,” Gallant stated during a meeting with troops. He highlighted that the objective is to ensure the safety of northern Israeli communities, which have been under threat from Hezbollah’s rocket attacks.

The Biden administration has expressed concerns over the potential invasion, urging Israel to consider the broader implications. U.S. officials have warned that such an operation could bolster support for Hezbollah among the Lebanese population. Despite these warnings, Israel appears determined to proceed, with troop movements and preparations indicating that the invasion could commence at any moment.

The situation remains fluid, with both sides bracing for what could be a significant and prolonged conflict. The international community watches closely, hoping for a resolution that avoids further bloodshed and instability in the region.


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