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What to Expect from the Bank of Canada on July 15 — And What It Means for Your Mortgage

  The next rate decision is just 17 days away. With inflation running hot, Canada in a technical recession, and mortgage rates on a knife's edge, here is everything you need to know before the announcement. The Short Answer: A Hold Is Almost Certain On July 15, 2026 , the Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce its sixth consecutive interest rate decision since October 2025 — and virtually every indicator points to another hold at 2.25% . The Bank has not moved its overnight rate since it cut to 2.25% last fall. After nine total cuts between June 2024 and October 2025, the easing cycle is effectively paused. Markets currently price the probability of a hike on July 15 at just 1%, and the chance of a cut at around the same slim odds. In other words: almost no one expects anything to change on announcement day. But a "hold" decision does not mean nothing matters. July 15 is one of four dates each year when the BoC releases a full Monetary Policy Report (MPR) alongside its rate ...
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China Warns 'No One Will Win a Trade War' After Trump's Tariff Threat

 

 China has issued a stern warning to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump following his announcement of a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports. The Chinese Embassy in Washington emphasized that "no one will win a trade war," highlighting the mutual benefits of U.S.-China economic and trade cooperation.

Trump's proposed tariffs are part of his broader strategy to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl. He stated that these tariffs would remain until China takes significant measures to halt the flow of drugs into the United States.

Chinese officials have pushed back against these claims, pointing to recent efforts to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and other narcotics-related measures. The embassy spokesperson, Liu Pengyu, reiterated that the idea of China knowingly allowing fentanyl precursors to flow into the U.S. runs counter to facts and reality.

As tensions escalate, the global community watches closely, aware that a trade war between the world's two largest economies could have far-reaching consequences.



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