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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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"CRA Duped Again: Ontario Construction Tax Credit Scam Costs Millions"

 

The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has once again fallen victim to a tax credit scam, this time involving Ontario's construction tax credit scheme. According to sources, the CRA mistakenly paid out tens of millions of dollars to scammers who used fake businesses to claim tax credits for non-existent renovations and construction projects.

The scheme, which began in 2020, allowed businesses to claim tax credits for building or renovating commercial facilities. However, the CRA failed to verify the claims, accepting them without review and paying out the credits without proper scrutiny. This oversight has resulted in significant financial losses, with the exact amount still being calculated but estimated to be in the tens of millions.

Minister of National Revenue Marie-Claude Bibeau has defended the CRA's fraud detection systems, calling them "robust," despite the repeated failures. The CRA has declined to comment on how the scam was missed and has not disclosed specific details about their monitoring strategies.

The Ontario finance ministry has stated that the CRA is responsible for administering the tax credits on behalf of the province, including conducting audits. Both the federal and provincial governments are now working together to address non-compliance and implement measures to minimize fraud in the future.

This latest incident raises questions about the effectiveness of the CRA's fraud detection systems and the accountability for the financial losses incurred.



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