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The 4% Rule Just Dropped to 3.9% — But Your RRIF Doesn't Care

  Published August 5, 2026 Morningstar's newest research says retirees can safely start withdrawing 3.9% a year. Ottawa's RRIF rules don't ask what's "safe" — they just tell you how much to take out, whether the math agrees or not. For years, the shortcut retirees leaned on was simple: take out 4% of your portfolio in your first year of retirement, bump it up with inflation every year after, and your savings should last three decades. Morningstar's 2026 State of Retirement Income report just trimmed that number to 3.9%. On its own, that's a small adjustment. On a $500,000 portfolio, it's the difference between withdrawing $19,500 or $20,000 in year one. But for Canadians, the number that actually controls the withdrawal isn't Morningstar's — it's the Canada Revenue Agency's. And once your RRSP becomes a Registered Retirement Income Fund, the CRA's required minimum can blow right past whatever a "safe" withdrawal rate i...
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Economists Criticize Liberals' New Stimulus Package, Question Long-Term Impact

 

Canada’s Liberal government has unveiled a new stimulus package aimed at addressing economic uncertainty, but the move is drawing skepticism from economists who question its rationale and potential implications for fiscal policy.

The package, which includes targeted financial relief for low- and middle-income households, tax credits for businesses, and infrastructure investments, is designed to counter inflationary pressures and boost economic activity. However, experts warn that such measures may have unintended consequences.

“Introducing new spending programs in the current economic climate could exacerbate deficits and put additional strain on taxpayers in the long run,” said Kevin Milligan, an economics professor at the University of British Columbia. “It’s not good for tax policy to continually rely on temporary fixes.”

Critics also argue that the package lacks clear metrics for success and risks fueling inflation rather than curbing it. Others, however, defend the plan as necessary to support vulnerable Canadians amid rising costs of living and global economic uncertainty.

As Parliament debates the package, opposition parties have demanded greater transparency on how the funding will be allocated and its expected impact on Canada’s long-term economic health.


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