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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...
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Loonie Plummets to 2020 Lows Amid Trump's Tariff Threat

 

The Canadian dollar, commonly known as the "loonie," has fallen to its lowest level since May 2020 following threats from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to impose tariffs on Canadian goods. Trump announced on social media that he plans to impose a 25% tariff on all products from Canada and Mexico until both countries address issues related to drug trafficking and illegal immigration.

The loonie dipped below 71 cents US in early trading on Tuesday, reaching 70.87 cents US, down from 71.53 cents US the previous day. This decline is attributed to increased trade tensions and concerns over the Canadian economy, which has already been under pressure due to recent interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada.

Economists are divided on whether Trump will follow through with his threats, with some suggesting that the announcement may be a negotiating tactic. However, the uncertainty has already had a significant impact on the loonie and could affect Canadian businesses and consumers if the tariffs are implemented.

The situation remains fluid, and Canadian officials are closely monitoring developments to determine the best course of action.



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