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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...

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Mexico Threatens Retaliation Over Proposed Tariffs, Warns of Job Losses


Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has issued a stern warning against the proposed 25% tariffs by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, stating that such measures could result in the loss of 400,000 U.S. jobs and increased prices for American consumers. Sheinbaum emphasized that Mexico would respond with reciprocal tariffs if the U.S. proceeds with the plan.

During a press conference, Sheinbaum highlighted the potential impact on the automotive sector, noting that nearly 90% of pickup trucks sold in the U.S. are manufactured in Mexico. Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard echoed these concerns, calling the proposed tariffs a "shot in the foot" that would harm both U.S. workers and companies.

The Mexican government has also expressed confidence that the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) would protect their trade interests. Sheinbaum and Trump discussed the issue in a recent phone call, with Trump claiming that Sheinbaum agreed to address migration and drug smuggling.

The situation remains tense as both countries navigate the complexities of trade relations and the potential economic fallout of the proposed tariffs.




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