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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Mexico Threatens Retaliation Over Proposed Tariffs, Warns of Job Losses


Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has issued a stern warning against the proposed 25% tariffs by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, stating that such measures could result in the loss of 400,000 U.S. jobs and increased prices for American consumers. Sheinbaum emphasized that Mexico would respond with reciprocal tariffs if the U.S. proceeds with the plan.

During a press conference, Sheinbaum highlighted the potential impact on the automotive sector, noting that nearly 90% of pickup trucks sold in the U.S. are manufactured in Mexico. Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard echoed these concerns, calling the proposed tariffs a "shot in the foot" that would harm both U.S. workers and companies.

The Mexican government has also expressed confidence that the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) would protect their trade interests. Sheinbaum and Trump discussed the issue in a recent phone call, with Trump claiming that Sheinbaum agreed to address migration and drug smuggling.

The situation remains tense as both countries navigate the complexities of trade relations and the potential economic fallout of the proposed tariffs.




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