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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Mexico Threatens Retaliation Over Proposed Tariffs, Warns of Job Losses


Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has issued a stern warning against the proposed 25% tariffs by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, stating that such measures could result in the loss of 400,000 U.S. jobs and increased prices for American consumers. Sheinbaum emphasized that Mexico would respond with reciprocal tariffs if the U.S. proceeds with the plan.

During a press conference, Sheinbaum highlighted the potential impact on the automotive sector, noting that nearly 90% of pickup trucks sold in the U.S. are manufactured in Mexico. Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard echoed these concerns, calling the proposed tariffs a "shot in the foot" that would harm both U.S. workers and companies.

The Mexican government has also expressed confidence that the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) would protect their trade interests. Sheinbaum and Trump discussed the issue in a recent phone call, with Trump claiming that Sheinbaum agreed to address migration and drug smuggling.

The situation remains tense as both countries navigate the complexities of trade relations and the potential economic fallout of the proposed tariffs.




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