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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Day, Fed, Loonie, Tariff Talks and OAS Boost

  Canadian Money Brief 5 Things to Know Today Wednesday, October 28, 2026 It’s a heavy day for Canadian wallets. The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision this morning, the U.S. Fed follows this afternoon, tariff talks are heating up, and bigger OAS deposits land in bank accounts. Here’s what to know. 1 The Bank of Canada decides this morning — a hike is widely expected The decision lands at 9:45 a.m. ET, along with a new Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists expect a quarter-point increase to 2.50% from 2.25%, which would be the first hike since July 2023. Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll called for the move, and investors were pricing roughly a 75% chance on Tuesday. The case for it: inflation hit 3.1% in September, driven almost entirely by energy, even as core measures eased below 2%. What it means for you A hike would likely lift prime rates quickly, so variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs feel it first. Roughly, 0.25 points adds about $250 a year per $...
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New Tariffs on Canadian Oil and Gas Could Drive Up U.S. Energy Prices

Energy producers are sounding the alarm over proposed tariffs on Canadian oil and gas, warning that such measures could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. The Trump administration has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada, including energy products, as part of an effort to curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking. 

Canada is the largest supplier of crude oil to the United States, with over 3.8 million barrels per day being imported. Industry experts argue that tariffs would not only hurt the Canadian energy sector but also result in increased costs for American consumers. "Imposing tariffs on Canadian oil would lead to higher gasoline and diesel prices in the U.S.," said Richard Masson, an executive fellow at the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy.

The potential tariffs have sparked concern among U.S. energy producers, who fear that the increased costs could disrupt supply chains and lead to inflation. "This is a lose-lose situation for both countries, added Dennis McConaghy, a former executive with TC Energy. 

As negotiations continue, the energy industry is urging policymakers to consider the broader economic impact of such tariffs and to seek alternative solutions to address the underlying issues.




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