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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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New Tariffs on Canadian Oil and Gas Could Drive Up U.S. Energy Prices

Energy producers are sounding the alarm over proposed tariffs on Canadian oil and gas, warning that such measures could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. The Trump administration has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada, including energy products, as part of an effort to curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking. 

Canada is the largest supplier of crude oil to the United States, with over 3.8 million barrels per day being imported. Industry experts argue that tariffs would not only hurt the Canadian energy sector but also result in increased costs for American consumers. "Imposing tariffs on Canadian oil would lead to higher gasoline and diesel prices in the U.S.," said Richard Masson, an executive fellow at the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy.

The potential tariffs have sparked concern among U.S. energy producers, who fear that the increased costs could disrupt supply chains and lead to inflation. "This is a lose-lose situation for both countries, added Dennis McConaghy, a former executive with TC Energy. 

As negotiations continue, the energy industry is urging policymakers to consider the broader economic impact of such tariffs and to seek alternative solutions to address the underlying issues.




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