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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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New Tariffs on Canadian Oil and Gas Could Drive Up U.S. Energy Prices

Energy producers are sounding the alarm over proposed tariffs on Canadian oil and gas, warning that such measures could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. The Trump administration has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada, including energy products, as part of an effort to curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking. 

Canada is the largest supplier of crude oil to the United States, with over 3.8 million barrels per day being imported. Industry experts argue that tariffs would not only hurt the Canadian energy sector but also result in increased costs for American consumers. "Imposing tariffs on Canadian oil would lead to higher gasoline and diesel prices in the U.S.," said Richard Masson, an executive fellow at the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy.

The potential tariffs have sparked concern among U.S. energy producers, who fear that the increased costs could disrupt supply chains and lead to inflation. "This is a lose-lose situation for both countries, added Dennis McConaghy, a former executive with TC Energy. 

As negotiations continue, the energy industry is urging policymakers to consider the broader economic impact of such tariffs and to seek alternative solutions to address the underlying issues.




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