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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Ottawa presses for united front to tackle Trump’s promised tariffs

 

Ottawa is indeed pushing for a united front to tackle the tariffs promised by President-elect Donald Trump. Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all products entering the U.S. from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the provincial premiers are working together to address this issue. Trudeau has already had discussions with Trump and plans to meet with the premiers to form a cohesive strategy. The potential impact on the Canadian economy is significant, with experts warning of catastrophic effects on various industries.

It's a tense situation, but the hope is that a united Canadian front can mitigate the potential damage. 



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