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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Ottawa presses for united front to tackle Trump’s promised tariffs

 

Ottawa is indeed pushing for a united front to tackle the tariffs promised by President-elect Donald Trump. Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all products entering the U.S. from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the provincial premiers are working together to address this issue. Trudeau has already had discussions with Trump and plans to meet with the premiers to form a cohesive strategy. The potential impact on the Canadian economy is significant, with experts warning of catastrophic effects on various industries.

It's a tense situation, but the hope is that a united Canadian front can mitigate the potential damage. 



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