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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...

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Russia Open to Ukraine Peace Talks if Trump Initiates Them, Envoy Says

In a recent statement, Russia has expressed its openness to engage in peace talks to end the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, provided that the initiative comes from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Gennady Gatilov, Russia's ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva, emphasized that any negotiations would need to be grounded in the current realities of Russian advances.

Trump has been vocal about his criticism of the extensive Western aid provided to Kyiv and has promised to swiftly end the conflict, although he has not detailed his approach. His victory in the November 5 presidential election has raised concerns in Kyiv and other European capitals about the future level of U.S. support for Ukraine.

Gatilov acknowledged that while Russia welcomes the prospect of Trump initiating the political process, he remains realistic about the challenges ahead. He noted that any peace talks must reflect the situation on the ground, where Russian forces have made significant advances.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has consistently maintained that peace can only be achieved once all Russian forces are expelled and all territories, including Crimea, are returned to Ukraine. He has warned that any concessions to Russia would be unacceptable for Ukraine and detrimental to European security.

As the world watches closely, the potential for new dialogue between Russia and the United States under Trump's leadership presents a complex and uncertain path forward for the conflict in Ukraine.

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