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5 Things to Know Today: Canada’s CPI, Alberta’s Vote and Oil Near $100 (Oct. 18)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 18, 2026 Markets are closed, but Monday is packed: Canada's September inflation reading, a high-stakes Alberta referendum and a Bank of Canada decision just ten days away. Here are the five things that matter for your wallet today. 1. Canada's September CPI lands Monday, 9 days before the BoC decision Statistics Canada releases September inflation Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET. A Reuters/LSEG poll of economists expects 3.2% (up from 3.0% in August); TD also sees 3.2%, while RBC expects 3.0% for a third straight month. Core inflation is expected to stay soft, around 1.8%-1.9%. The Bank of Canada also publishes its Business Outlook Survey Monday, and the policy rate (2.25%) is decided Oct. 28. What it means for you: A hot core number would raise odds of a hike, which hits variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs first. A soft core number with headline driven by gas supports the "hold" camp. 2. Alberta votes Monday on ten referendum questio...
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Trudeau and Trump Meet in Florida Amid Tariff Tensions


In a high-stakes diplomatic encounter, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau met with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago in Florida on Friday evening. The dinner meeting came just days after Trump announced his intention to impose sweeping tariffs on Canadian and Mexican products, a move that has sparked significant concern on both sides of the border.

Trump has pledged to implement a 25% tariff on all goods entering the United States from Canada and Mexico as one of his first executive orders. This decision, he claims, is aimed at curbing the flow of drugs and illegal migrants across the borders. Trudeau, in response, has warned that such tariffs would not only harm Canadian businesses but also raise prices for American consumers and disrupt the North American trade pact.

The dinner, which included key figures from both administrations, was described as a "positive wide-ranging" discussion that lasted three hours. Topics covered included trade, border security, and the ongoing issues related to fentanyl and migration. Despite the tension, both leaders expressed a willingness to work together to address these challenges.



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