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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Trudeau and Trump Meet in Florida Amid Tariff Tensions


In a high-stakes diplomatic encounter, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau met with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago in Florida on Friday evening. The dinner meeting came just days after Trump announced his intention to impose sweeping tariffs on Canadian and Mexican products, a move that has sparked significant concern on both sides of the border.

Trump has pledged to implement a 25% tariff on all goods entering the United States from Canada and Mexico as one of his first executive orders. This decision, he claims, is aimed at curbing the flow of drugs and illegal migrants across the borders. Trudeau, in response, has warned that such tariffs would not only harm Canadian businesses but also raise prices for American consumers and disrupt the North American trade pact.

The dinner, which included key figures from both administrations, was described as a "positive wide-ranging" discussion that lasted three hours. Topics covered included trade, border security, and the ongoing issues related to fentanyl and migration. Despite the tension, both leaders expressed a willingness to work together to address these challenges.



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