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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Trump Vows New Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, Threatening Global Trade

 

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced on Monday that he will impose new tariffs on products from Canada, Mexico, and China as part of his strategy to address illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl. Trump stated that he will sign an executive order on his first day in office to implement a 25% tariff on all products entering the United States from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China.

Trump's announcement has sparked concerns among economists and trade experts, who warn that such measures could lead to higher prices for American consumers and potential retaliatory actions from the affected countries. The tariffs are expected to impact a wide range of products, including automobiles, electronics, and agricultural goods.

Canadian and Mexican officials have yet to respond to Trump's announcement, but the move is likely to strain trade relations between the three countries. The tariffs could also complicate the implementation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which was designed to facilitate trade and economic cooperation in North America.

As the January 20th inauguration date approaches, businesses and consumers are bracing for the potential economic fallout from these tariffs.


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