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Weekly Market Snapshot: Yields at Multi-Decade Highs, Oil Eases on Hormuz Hopes — Week of Sept. 22–26, 2026

Week of September 22–26, 2026 It was a week of two forces tugging in opposite directions. Bond yields surged to levels not seen since 2004–2007, driven by resilient US economic data, hawkish Fed signals, and oil-driven inflation fears — putting pressure on equities and the Canadian dollar. Then, late in the week, reports emerged that US and Iranian negotiators were exploring a phased deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Oil pulled back sharply Friday, yields stabilized, and markets found enough relief to post a partial recovery. The TSX finished the week slightly lower but well off its worst levels, while US indices managed a weekly gain. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite entered the week near 35,800 and, after a volatile ride, closed Friday around the same level — giving up roughly 0.3% on the week. Mid-week selling was driven by the same forces pressuring global markets: surging US Treasury yields, a rising oil-inflation premium, and investor nervousness ahea...
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Trump's Tariff Man: What Howard Lutnick's Appointment Means for Canada

 

President-elect Donald Trump has appointed Howard Lutnick, a Wall Street heavyweight and co-leader of Trump's transition team, as his Secretary of Commerce and the point man for his tariff and trade agenda. Lutnick's appointment signals a significant shift in U.S. trade policy, with potential major implications for Canada.

Lutnick has publicly shared his views on tariffs, emphasizing that they will not be applied indiscriminately. Instead, he envisions tariffs serving two main purposes: influencing specific industries and acting as a negotiating tool to lower trade barriers with other countries. This approach aims to create a more level playing field for American businesses, particularly in the automotive sector, where Lutnick has highlighted the need for fairer competition with European and Japanese manufacturers.

For Canada, the impact of Trump's tariff plan could be substantial. Estimates suggest that the tariffs could cost Canada's economy anywhere from a half-per cent to five per cent of GDP, depending on their design and implementation. The energy sector, a major Canadian export to the U.S., might see less impact, but the automotive industry could face significant challenges.

As Lutnick takes on his new role, Canadian officials and businesses will be closely monitoring the developments to understand how these changes will affect cross-border trade and the broader economic relationship between the two countries.

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