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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...

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Wall Street Holds Steady Amid Trump's Tariff Threats

                                       

US stocks showed resilience on Tuesday as investors weighed President-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose fresh tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. The S&P 500 inched up roughly 0.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped about 0.4%. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.3% after hitting a record high.

Trump's pledge to impose tariffs from his first day in office initially sparked trade war fears, but Wall Street seemed to take the news in stride, holding onto gains from Monday's Bessent-bounce. Investors are now closely watching the release of Federal Reserve minutes for clues on the pace of interest rate cuts in the coming year.

European carmakers, particularly Nissan and Honda, faced pressure due to Trump's "America First" push, while the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar dropped sharply. Meanwhile, bitcoin retreated to trade around $92,840 per token as its bid for the $100,000 milestone ran out of steam.




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