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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street Holds Steady Amid Trump's Tariff Threats

                                       

US stocks showed resilience on Tuesday as investors weighed President-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose fresh tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. The S&P 500 inched up roughly 0.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped about 0.4%. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.3% after hitting a record high.

Trump's pledge to impose tariffs from his first day in office initially sparked trade war fears, but Wall Street seemed to take the news in stride, holding onto gains from Monday's Bessent-bounce. Investors are now closely watching the release of Federal Reserve minutes for clues on the pace of interest rate cuts in the coming year.

European carmakers, particularly Nissan and Honda, faced pressure due to Trump's "America First" push, while the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar dropped sharply. Meanwhile, bitcoin retreated to trade around $92,840 per token as its bid for the $100,000 milestone ran out of steam.




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