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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...

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Wall Street Holds Steady Amid Trump's Tariff Threats

                                       

US stocks showed resilience on Tuesday as investors weighed President-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose fresh tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. The S&P 500 inched up roughly 0.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped about 0.4%. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.3% after hitting a record high.

Trump's pledge to impose tariffs from his first day in office initially sparked trade war fears, but Wall Street seemed to take the news in stride, holding onto gains from Monday's Bessent-bounce. Investors are now closely watching the release of Federal Reserve minutes for clues on the pace of interest rate cuts in the coming year.

European carmakers, particularly Nissan and Honda, faced pressure due to Trump's "America First" push, while the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar dropped sharply. Meanwhile, bitcoin retreated to trade around $92,840 per token as its bid for the $100,000 milestone ran out of steam.




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