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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....

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Senate to Decide Fate of Funding Bill as Shutdown Deadline Looms


In a dramatic turn of events, the U.S. House of Representatives approved a crucial funding bill just hours before the midnight deadline, sending it to the Senate for immediate consideration. The bill, which passed with a vote of 366-34, aims to temporarily fund federal operations and provide disaster aid, but notably excludes an increase in the debt ceiling as demanded by President-elect Donald Trump.

House Speaker Mike Johnson emphasized the importance of avoiding a government shutdown, especially during the holiday season, while acknowledging the challenges posed by Trump's last-minute demands. The bill now faces a critical test in the Senate, where its passage is expected but not guaranteed.

As the clock ticks down, all eyes are on the Senate to see if they can act swiftly enough to prevent a shutdown that would disrupt federal services and impact millions of Americans.




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