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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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South Korean President Faces Treason Investigation and Impeachment Vote

 

In a dramatic turn of events, South Korean police have launched an investigation into President Yoon Suk Yeol on charges of treason. This follows his controversial declaration of martial law earlier this week, which was swiftly revoked after widespread backlash. The investigation, initiated by the National Office of Investigation, stems from complaints filed by the Rebuilding Korea Party and a group of 59 activists.

The declaration of martial law, which sought to consolidate power, ban political activity, and censor the media, was met with immediate outrage both domestically and internationally. President Yoon's actions have led to calls for his impeachment, with the main opposition Democratic Party planning to vote on the motion this Saturday.

The impeachment motion requires a two-thirds majority in the 300-seat parliament to pass, needing at least eight votes from the ruling People Power Party lawmakers. If successful, Prime Minister Han Duck-soo would assume the role of interim head of state while the Constitutional Court reviews the case, a process that could take up to 180 days.

The political turmoil has also seen the resignation of Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, who played a key role in the martial law declaration. Kim has been replaced by Choi Byung-hyuk, the South Korean ambassador to Saudi Arabia.

As the nation braces for the upcoming impeachment vote, the investigation into President Yoon's actions continues to unfold, marking a significant moment in South Korea's political landscape.

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