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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Trudeau's Zoom Call Sparks Cabinet Shake-Up: Freeland Out, Carney In

In a surprising turn of events, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau informed Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland over a Zoom call that she would be replaced by Mark Carney. This unexpected move has sent shockwaves through the political landscape, raising questions about the future direction of Canada's economic policies.

Freeland, who has been a key figure in Trudeau's cabinet, reportedly received the news during a virtual meeting, highlighting the modern approach to significant political decisions. The decision to replace Freeland with Carney, a former Governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, suggests a shift towards a more technocratic approach to managing the country's finances.

The announcement has sparked a flurry of reactions from political analysts and the public alike. Many are speculating about the reasons behind this sudden change and what it means for the Liberal government's economic strategy moving forward. Freeland's departure marks the end of an era, and Carney's appointment signals a new chapter in Canada's financial leadership.

As the dust settles, all eyes will be on Carney as he steps into his new role, tasked with navigating the country through its economic challenges and opportunities. The political landscape in Ottawa is sure to be closely watched in the coming days as further details emerge about this significant cabinet reshuffle.

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