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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trudeau's Zoom Call Sparks Cabinet Shake-Up: Freeland Out, Carney In

In a surprising turn of events, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau informed Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland over a Zoom call that she would be replaced by Mark Carney. This unexpected move has sent shockwaves through the political landscape, raising questions about the future direction of Canada's economic policies.

Freeland, who has been a key figure in Trudeau's cabinet, reportedly received the news during a virtual meeting, highlighting the modern approach to significant political decisions. The decision to replace Freeland with Carney, a former Governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, suggests a shift towards a more technocratic approach to managing the country's finances.

The announcement has sparked a flurry of reactions from political analysts and the public alike. Many are speculating about the reasons behind this sudden change and what it means for the Liberal government's economic strategy moving forward. Freeland's departure marks the end of an era, and Carney's appointment signals a new chapter in Canada's financial leadership.

As the dust settles, all eyes will be on Carney as he steps into his new role, tasked with navigating the country through its economic challenges and opportunities. The political landscape in Ottawa is sure to be closely watched in the coming days as further details emerge about this significant cabinet reshuffle.

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