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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Day, Fed, Loonie, Tariff Talks and OAS Boost

  Canadian Money Brief 5 Things to Know Today Wednesday, October 28, 2026 It’s a heavy day for Canadian wallets. The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision this morning, the U.S. Fed follows this afternoon, tariff talks are heating up, and bigger OAS deposits land in bank accounts. Here’s what to know. 1 The Bank of Canada decides this morning — a hike is widely expected The decision lands at 9:45 a.m. ET, along with a new Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists expect a quarter-point increase to 2.50% from 2.25%, which would be the first hike since July 2023. Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll called for the move, and investors were pricing roughly a 75% chance on Tuesday. The case for it: inflation hit 3.1% in September, driven almost entirely by energy, even as core measures eased below 2%. What it means for you A hike would likely lift prime rates quickly, so variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs feel it first. Roughly, 0.25 points adds about $250 a year per $...
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Canadian Dollar Sees Hope as Trudeau Announces Resignation

The Canadian dollar, which has been on a downward trend for months, saw a brief surge following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement of his resignation. Economists and market strategists are cautiously optimistic about the potential for economic recovery with new leadership on the horizon.

Trudeau's resignation, which came amidst political uncertainty and economic challenges, has sparked a wave of speculation about the future of Canada's economy. The Canadian dollar, often referred to as the "loonie," briefly rose by about one percent against the U.S. dollar in early trading on Monday. This movement reflects a renewed confidence among investors who believe that a change in leadership could lead to more stable and growth-oriented policies.

However, not all experts are convinced that the loonie's rise will be sustained. RSM Canada economist Tu Nguyen warned that Trudeau's resignation could usher in a new wave of uncertainty, potentially delaying economic recovery as businesses adopt a wait-and-see approach. The political upheaval has also led to a surge in Canada's Economic Policy Uncertainty Index, reaching its highest level since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Despite these concerns, some market strategists believe that a new Conservative government, potentially led by Pierre Poilievre, could improve Canada's economic prospects by fostering better relations with the United States and implementing pro-growth policies.

As Canada navigates this period of transition, the world will be watching closely to see if the loonie's recent gains are a sign of long-term recovery or just a temporary blip in an otherwise challenging economic landscape.



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