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TSX Eyes Gains as Trump-Xi Summit Looms and Oil Steadies Near $95

Canadian Money Brief · Monday, May 11, 2026 Canadian equities are set for a cautious but constructive open this Monday as investors balance a packed macro calendar against an energy sector still reeling from one of its most volatile weeks in recent memory. TSX at a Glance The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 34,077.76 , up 221 points (+0.65%) to cap a week dominated by whipsaw oil moves and a fragile Middle East ceasefire. The energy sector has led TSX gains over the past seven days — up roughly 5% — even as WTI crude fell about 7% on the week, settling near $95.42 per barrel . That apparent contradiction reflects Canadian producers' longer-term optimism on supply tightness rather than any single day's price swing. For the year, the TSX is up approximately 35%, outpacing most major global benchmarks. The Big Story: Trump Heads to Beijing All eyes this week will be on Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in China on Wednesday , with formal ...
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Canadian Dollar Sees Hope as Trudeau Announces Resignation

The Canadian dollar, which has been on a downward trend for months, saw a brief surge following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement of his resignation. Economists and market strategists are cautiously optimistic about the potential for economic recovery with new leadership on the horizon.

Trudeau's resignation, which came amidst political uncertainty and economic challenges, has sparked a wave of speculation about the future of Canada's economy. The Canadian dollar, often referred to as the "loonie," briefly rose by about one percent against the U.S. dollar in early trading on Monday. This movement reflects a renewed confidence among investors who believe that a change in leadership could lead to more stable and growth-oriented policies.

However, not all experts are convinced that the loonie's rise will be sustained. RSM Canada economist Tu Nguyen warned that Trudeau's resignation could usher in a new wave of uncertainty, potentially delaying economic recovery as businesses adopt a wait-and-see approach. The political upheaval has also led to a surge in Canada's Economic Policy Uncertainty Index, reaching its highest level since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Despite these concerns, some market strategists believe that a new Conservative government, potentially led by Pierre Poilievre, could improve Canada's economic prospects by fostering better relations with the United States and implementing pro-growth policies.

As Canada navigates this period of transition, the world will be watching closely to see if the loonie's recent gains are a sign of long-term recovery or just a temporary blip in an otherwise challenging economic landscape.



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