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The Loonie Just Hit a 14-Month Low — Here's What It's Costing You

   Saturday, July 25, 2026 The Canadian dollar has slid to its weakest level since April 2025, and speculators are betting it has further to fall. Here's why it's happening and what it actually means for your wallet. If you've bought anything in U.S. dollars lately — a flight, an Amazon.com order, a hotel for a Florida trip — you may have noticed the exchange rate isn't doing you any favours. The Canadian dollar touched 1.4248 per U.S. dollar (about 70.2 U.S. cents ) last week, its weakest level in 14 months, before steadying closer to 1.41 . It's not just a bad week. Currency speculators have piled into bets against the loonie so aggressively that the Canadian dollar has overtaken the Japanese yen as the most heavily shorted major currency in the world, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Net short positions against the CAD hit roughly US$12.5 billion — the largest bearish bet on the loonie since December 2024. Why the loonie is ...
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Canadian Dollar Sees Hope as Trudeau Announces Resignation

The Canadian dollar, which has been on a downward trend for months, saw a brief surge following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement of his resignation. Economists and market strategists are cautiously optimistic about the potential for economic recovery with new leadership on the horizon.

Trudeau's resignation, which came amidst political uncertainty and economic challenges, has sparked a wave of speculation about the future of Canada's economy. The Canadian dollar, often referred to as the "loonie," briefly rose by about one percent against the U.S. dollar in early trading on Monday. This movement reflects a renewed confidence among investors who believe that a change in leadership could lead to more stable and growth-oriented policies.

However, not all experts are convinced that the loonie's rise will be sustained. RSM Canada economist Tu Nguyen warned that Trudeau's resignation could usher in a new wave of uncertainty, potentially delaying economic recovery as businesses adopt a wait-and-see approach. The political upheaval has also led to a surge in Canada's Economic Policy Uncertainty Index, reaching its highest level since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Despite these concerns, some market strategists believe that a new Conservative government, potentially led by Pierre Poilievre, could improve Canada's economic prospects by fostering better relations with the United States and implementing pro-growth policies.

As Canada navigates this period of transition, the world will be watching closely to see if the loonie's recent gains are a sign of long-term recovery or just a temporary blip in an otherwise challenging economic landscape.



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