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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Ontario Colleges on Edge as Faculty Strike Looms

Faculty staff at Ontario’s public colleges are poised to take strike action as early as January 9th, following a five-day labour notice issued by the Ontario Public Service Employees Union (OPSEU). The union, representing faculty workers at the province’s 24 public colleges, has cited stalled contract talks and lack of job security as the primary reasons for the potential strike.

Despite months of negotiations, the College Employer Council (CEC) and OPSEU have yet to reach an agreement. The union claims that the CEC’s current offer would leave faculty members worse off than their previous contract, which expired three months ago. The CEC, on the other hand, argues that the union’s demands are unrealistic given the financial instability faced by Ontario’s colleges.

The potential strike comes at a challenging time for Ontario’s college sector, which has already seen a significant drop in international student enrollment and funding cuts. The union is urging the CEC to enter mediation with more realistic demands to avoid an unnecessary strike.

As the situation unfolds, both parties remain committed to finding a resolution, but the looming strike date adds urgency to the negotiations.




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