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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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How U.S. Tariffs on Canada Could Drive Up Prices for Consumers


With the possibility of new U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports, consumers may soon see higher prices on everyday goods. Canada is a key trade partner, supplying everything from raw materials to finished products. If tariffs are imposed, here’s what could get expensive first:

  1. Lumber & Construction Materials – Canada is the largest foreign supplier of softwood lumber to the U.S. Tariffs could raise homebuilding and renovation costs.
  2. Vehicles & Auto Parts – Canadian auto plants export billions in cars and parts annually. Higher costs could lead to increased vehicle prices.
  3. Food & Beverages – From maple syrup to seafood, Canadian agricultural exports would likely see price hikes at U.S. grocery stores.
  4. Aluminum & Steel Products – These metals are essential for industries like aerospace, construction, and beverage packaging, meaning everything from soda cans to airplanes could get pricier.
  5. Energy & Fuel – Canada is a major oil and gas supplier. Tariffs on crude oil imports could lead to higher gas prices at the pump.

While the U.S. could use tariffs as a tool for trade negotiations, the economic impact on consumers and industries would be hard to ignore. Whether these measures are implemented remains to be seen, but the potential for price increases is real.

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