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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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How U.S. Tariffs on Canada Could Drive Up Prices for Consumers


With the possibility of new U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports, consumers may soon see higher prices on everyday goods. Canada is a key trade partner, supplying everything from raw materials to finished products. If tariffs are imposed, here’s what could get expensive first:

  1. Lumber & Construction Materials – Canada is the largest foreign supplier of softwood lumber to the U.S. Tariffs could raise homebuilding and renovation costs.
  2. Vehicles & Auto Parts – Canadian auto plants export billions in cars and parts annually. Higher costs could lead to increased vehicle prices.
  3. Food & Beverages – From maple syrup to seafood, Canadian agricultural exports would likely see price hikes at U.S. grocery stores.
  4. Aluminum & Steel Products – These metals are essential for industries like aerospace, construction, and beverage packaging, meaning everything from soda cans to airplanes could get pricier.
  5. Energy & Fuel – Canada is a major oil and gas supplier. Tariffs on crude oil imports could lead to higher gas prices at the pump.

While the U.S. could use tariffs as a tool for trade negotiations, the economic impact on consumers and industries would be hard to ignore. Whether these measures are implemented remains to be seen, but the potential for price increases is real.

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